#357 - Bitcoin's Deep Dive: Halving, Russia's Tax, and Rising Predictions
1. The Bitcoin halving event, which occurs approximately every four years, has significantly impacted the cryptocurrency's supply and market dynamics. The most recent halving in April 2024 reduced the block reward from 6.25 to 3.125 BTC, further limiting the supply of new Bitcoins. This event has been a crucial milestone in Bitcoin's history, influencing miner behavior and market volatility.
2. Russia has approved a new tax bill that classifies Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies as property, exempting mining activities from Value-Added Tax (VAT). The bill now awaits President Putin's signature to become law.
3. Pantera Capital's CEO, Dan Morehead, predicts Bitcoin could reach $740,000 by April 2028, driven by increasing institutional investment and untapped blockchain adoption. This forecast is based on historical growth trends and the potential for significant market capitalization.
4. Avalon Labs' USDa, a Bitcoin-backed stablecoin, has reached a total value locked (TVL) of $230 million within two weeks of its launch. This rapid growth underscores the increasing interest in decentralized finance (DeFi) and the potential of Bitcoin-backed assets.
5. Bitcoin is set for its largest monthly options expiry of 2024, with $13.6 billion in contracts expiring on November 29. This event could lead to increased volatility and potentially push the price of Bitcoin above $100,000 as options traders close their bets.
6. Bitcoin's price has shown resilience, rebounding from $92,000 to above $95,000, despite facing selling pressure. The cryptocurrency's historical performance on November 28, particularly in 2013 and 2017, has set a precedent for potential ATHs. Institutional interest and new financial products continue to drive adoption and price growth.
7. MicroStrategy's strategy of buying and holding Bitcoin to repay lenders involves significant financial and political risks. If the company cannot sell enough Bitcoin to repay its lenders, it could face severe financial consequences, including potential bankruptcy. This scenario is particularly concerning given the company's substantial leverage and the volatility of the Bitcoin market.
8. The ProShares UltraShort Bitcoin ETF (SBIT) has seen record trading volumes as Bitcoin's price stabilizes around $95,000. This surge in activity is attributed to investors seeking inverse returns on the cryptocurrency market.
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